Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on May 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 13?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$205,924 交易量
$205,924 交易量
2026-05-13
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$205,924 交易量
$205,924 交易量
2026-05-13
47°F or below
$26,878 交易量
No
48-49°F
$11,492 交易量
No
50-51°F
$12,006 交易量
No
52-53°F
$26,842 交易量
No
54-55°F
$11,409 交易量
No
56-57°F
$16,626 交易量
No
58-59°F
$15,729 交易量
No
60-61°F
$11,406 交易量
No
62-63°F
$14,216 交易量
No
64-65°F
$21,890 交易量
No
66°F or higher
$37,431 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$205,924结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$205,924结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题