Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Dallas's highest temperature reaching 74°F or higher on May 13, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts pegging highs near 88-91°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge overhead. Clear skies, light south winds around 5-10 mph, and morning temperatures already climbing past 65°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) ensure robust diurnal heating, with model consensus from GFS and NAM showing subsidence suppressing clouds and promoting above-normal warmth—well exceeding the May climatological average high of 83°F. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal surge or persistent cloud cover, both deemed improbable by current upper-air patterns and dry mid-levels; hourly KDFW observations will confirm through afternoon peak heating around 3-5 PM CDT.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on May 13?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$28,562 交易量
$28,562 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$28,562 交易量
$28,562 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Dallas's highest temperature reaching 74°F or higher on May 13, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts pegging highs near 88-91°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge overhead. Clear skies, light south winds around 5-10 mph, and morning temperatures already climbing past 65°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) ensure robust diurnal heating, with model consensus from GFS and NAM showing subsidence suppressing clouds and promoting above-normal warmth—well exceeding the May climatological average high of 83°F. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal surge or persistent cloud cover, both deemed improbable by current upper-air patterns and dry mid-levels; hourly KDFW observations will confirm through afternoon peak heating around 3-5 PM CDT.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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