Meteorological consensus from the China Meteorological Administration places Chengdu under the Western Pacific Subtropical High on August 14, driving clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong solar heating that supports a daily maximum near 37°C. Ensemble model runs align on this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where high pressure suppresses convection and maintains elevated surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this strong scientific agreement backed by real-time observations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud buildup or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak slightly lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日成都气温最高？
8月14日成都气温最高？
37°C 100.0%
30℃及以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$75,534 交易量
$75,534 交易量
2026-08-14
30℃及以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35℃
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或更高
否
37°C 100.0%
30℃及以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$75,534 交易量
$75,534 交易量
2026-08-14
30℃及以下
$385 交易量
否
31°C
$1,481 交易量
否
32°C
$1,102 交易量
否
33°C
$1,061 交易量
否
34°C
$2,877 交易量
否
35℃
$5,699 交易量
否
36°C
$18,353 交易量
否
37°C
$16,938 交易量
是
38°C
$13,892 交易量
否
39°C
$6,269 交易量
否
40°C或更高
$7,476 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological consensus from the China Meteorological Administration places Chengdu under the Western Pacific Subtropical High on August 14, driving clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong solar heating that supports a daily maximum near 37°C. Ensemble model runs align on this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where high pressure suppresses convection and maintains elevated surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this strong scientific agreement backed by real-time observations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud buildup or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak slightly lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$75,534结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological consensus from the China Meteorological Administration places Chengdu under the Western Pacific Subtropical High on August 14, driving clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong solar heating that supports a daily maximum near 37°C. Ensemble model runs align on this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where high pressure suppresses convection and maintains elevated surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this strong scientific agreement backed by real-time observations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud buildup or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak slightly lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$75,534结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Meteorological consensus from the China Meteorological Administration places Chengdu under the Western Pacific Subtropical High on August 14, driving clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong solar heating that supports a daily maximum near 37°C. Ensemble model runs align on this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where high pressure suppresses convection and maintains elevated surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this strong scientific agreement backed by real-time observations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud buildup or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak slightly lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题