Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Busan's highest temperature peaked at 23°C this afternoon under clear skies and light northerly winds, matching pre-dawn model ensembles that clustered tightly around 23–24°C for this mid-May date. The city's coastal location moderates highs via sea breezes, aligning with historical averages of 22–24°C on May 13, while current evening readings of 19°C signal rapid post-sunset cooling with no further diurnal heating possible. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 23°C reflects this observational lock-in, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include a rare late revision to KMA's official daily maximum from Gimhae Airport station data or minor urban heat discrepancies, though probabilities remain negligible as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on May 13?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$75,580 交易量
$75,580 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$75,580 交易量
$75,580 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Busan's highest temperature peaked at 23°C this afternoon under clear skies and light northerly winds, matching pre-dawn model ensembles that clustered tightly around 23–24°C for this mid-May date. The city's coastal location moderates highs via sea breezes, aligning with historical averages of 22–24°C on May 13, while current evening readings of 19°C signal rapid post-sunset cooling with no further diurnal heating possible. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 23°C reflects this observational lock-in, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include a rare late revision to KMA's official daily maximum from Gimhae Airport station data or minor urban heat discrepancies, though probabilities remain negligible as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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