Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature reaching 78°F or higher on May 13, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 90-92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution site. Morning observations show temperatures starting in the low 60s°F around 7 a.m. CDT, with a building ridge of high pressure promoting efficient daytime heating via strong insolation and light southeast winds under mostly clear conditions. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 87°F are common, and recent model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System reinforces the warm outlook following a brief cool-down earlier in the week. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen influx of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, both unlikely per current guidance, with hourly updates from NWS expected through afternoon peak heating around 3-5 p.m. CDT.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on May 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 13?
78°F or higher 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$152,217 交易量
$152,217 交易量
2026-05-13
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
Yes
78°F or higher 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$152,217 交易量
$152,217 交易量
2026-05-13
59°F or below
$21,235 交易量
No
60-61°F
$13,173 交易量
No
62-63°F
$9,545 交易量
No
64-65°F
$10,300 交易量
No
66-67°F
$9,034 交易量
No
68-69°F
$9,023 交易量
No
70-71°F
$11,040 交易量
No
72-73°F
$11,811 交易量
No
74-75°F
$8,421 交易量
No
76-77°F
$14,764 交易量
No
78°F or higher
$33,871 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature reaching 78°F or higher on May 13, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 90-92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution site. Morning observations show temperatures starting in the low 60s°F around 7 a.m. CDT, with a building ridge of high pressure promoting efficient daytime heating via strong insolation and light southeast winds under mostly clear conditions. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 87°F are common, and recent model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System reinforces the warm outlook following a brief cool-down earlier in the week. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen influx of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, both unlikely per current guidance, with hourly updates from NWS expected through afternoon peak heating around 3-5 p.m. CDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$152,217结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature reaching 78°F or higher on May 13, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 90-92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution site. Morning observations show temperatures starting in the low 60s°F around 7 a.m. CDT, with a building ridge of high pressure promoting efficient daytime heating via strong insolation and light southeast winds under mostly clear conditions. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 87°F are common, and recent model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System reinforces the warm outlook following a brief cool-down earlier in the week. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen influx of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, both unlikely per current guidance, with hourly updates from NWS expected through afternoon peak heating around 3-5 p.m. CDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$152,217结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature reaching 78°F or higher on May 13, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 90-92°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), the market's resolution site. Morning observations show temperatures starting in the low 60s°F around 7 a.m. CDT, with a building ridge of high pressure promoting efficient daytime heating via strong insolation and light southeast winds under mostly clear conditions. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs near 87°F are common, and recent model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System reinforces the warm outlook following a brief cool-down earlier in the week. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen influx of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, both unlikely per current guidance, with hourly updates from NWS expected through afternoon peak heating around 3-5 p.m. CDT.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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