Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Austin's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and calm winds shifting east-northeast at 5 mph. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures rising from an overnight low of 64°F toward the low 70s by mid-morning, supporting robust diurnal heating typical for mid-May climatology (normal high 86°F). Model ensembles from NOAA align on dry conditions with ample solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance shows low precipitation odds (<10%) and no disruptive upper-level features; afternoon updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio will refine this outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on May 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 12?
84°F or higher 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$106,145 交易量
$106,145 交易量
2026-05-12
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
Yes
84°F or higher 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$106,145 交易量
$106,145 交易量
2026-05-12
65°F or below
$20,573 交易量
No
66-67°F
$10,098 交易量
No
68-69°F
$7,401 交易量
No
70-71°F
$5,146 交易量
No
72-73°F
$4,251 交易量
No
74-75°F
$4,770 交易量
No
76-77°F
$3,489 交易量
No
78-79°F
$4,029 交易量
No
80-81°F
$6,289 交易量
No
82-83°F
$16,407 交易量
No
84°F or higher
$23,692 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Austin's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and calm winds shifting east-northeast at 5 mph. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures rising from an overnight low of 64°F toward the low 70s by mid-morning, supporting robust diurnal heating typical for mid-May climatology (normal high 86°F). Model ensembles from NOAA align on dry conditions with ample solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance shows low precipitation odds (<10%) and no disruptive upper-level features; afternoon updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$106,145结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Austin's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and calm winds shifting east-northeast at 5 mph. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures rising from an overnight low of 64°F toward the low 70s by mid-morning, supporting robust diurnal heating typical for mid-May climatology (normal high 86°F). Model ensembles from NOAA align on dry conditions with ample solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance shows low precipitation odds (<10%) and no disruptive upper-level features; afternoon updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio will refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$106,145结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Austin's highest temperature reaching 84°F or higher today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and calm winds shifting east-northeast at 5 mph. Morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport show temperatures rising from an overnight low of 64°F toward the low 70s by mid-morning, supporting robust diurnal heating typical for mid-May climatology (normal high 86°F). Model ensembles from NOAA align on dry conditions with ample solar insolation. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or sudden cloud cover reducing insolation, though current guidance shows low precipitation odds (<10%) and no disruptive upper-level features; afternoon updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio will refine this outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题