Official meteorological observations from Dutch monitoring networks confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and partly sunny skies that produced only modest daytime heating. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute model runs had converged on 22–23°C, aligning closely with the final recorded peak around midday. This narrow temperature envelope, well below seasonal extremes and consistent with climatological August averages near 21°C, produced near-certain trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, though such outcomes remain highly improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月16日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
23°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$82,108 交易量
$82,108 交易量
2026-08-16
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
23°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$82,108 交易量
$82,108 交易量
2026-08-16
19°C或以下
$714 交易量
否
20°C
$2,287 交易量
否
21°C
$10,058 交易量
否
22°C
$20,684 交易量
否
23°C
$16,144 交易量
是
24°C
$17,782 交易量
否
25°C
$11,908 交易量
否
26°C
$1,235 交易量
否
27°C
$496 交易量
否
28°C
$343 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$457 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Dutch monitoring networks confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and partly sunny skies that produced only modest daytime heating. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute model runs had converged on 22–23°C, aligning closely with the final recorded peak around midday. This narrow temperature envelope, well below seasonal extremes and consistent with climatological August averages near 21°C, produced near-certain trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, though such outcomes remain highly improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$82,108结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Dutch monitoring networks confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and partly sunny skies that produced only modest daytime heating. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute model runs had converged on 22–23°C, aligning closely with the final recorded peak around midday. This narrow temperature envelope, well below seasonal extremes and consistent with climatological August averages near 21°C, produced near-certain trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, though such outcomes remain highly improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$82,108结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from Dutch monitoring networks confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and partly sunny skies that produced only modest daytime heating. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute model runs had converged on 22–23°C, aligning closely with the final recorded peak around midday. This narrow temperature envelope, well below seasonal extremes and consistent with climatological August averages near 21°C, produced near-certain trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, though such outcomes remain highly improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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