Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth market reflects trader focus on the export-driven recovery evident in H1 data, where Q2 expanded 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-over-year after upward revisions. Recent forecasts from the Kiel Institute and ifo Institute lifted 2026 annual growth to 1.3–1.4% on fiscal stimulus and resilient foreign demand, supporting the 41% implied probability on the 1.0–1.2% bucket. Elevated 2.7% inflation continues to constrain private consumption, while low Rhine water levels earlier in the summer introduced temporary industrial drag, though conditions have improved. Expansionary fiscal measures and modest gains in business sentiment indicators underpin the 24% odds on 0.7–0.9% and 14.5% on 1.3%+, with the initial Destatis release due October 30 expected to clarify momentum amid ongoing structural and geopolitical uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.0-1.2% 41%
0.7-0.9% 24%
1.3%+ 15%
≤0.0% 6.5%
$32,203 交易量
$32,203 交易量
2026-10-30
≤0.0%
7%
0.1-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.6%
5%
0.7-0.9%
24%
1.0-1.2%
41%
1.3%+
15%
1.0-1.2% 41%
0.7-0.9% 24%
1.3%+ 15%
≤0.0% 6.5%
$32,203 交易量
$32,203 交易量
2026-10-30
≤0.0%
$1,305 交易量
7%
0.1-0.3%
$1,429 交易量
1%
0.4-0.6%
$685 交易量
5%
0.7-0.9%
$5,360 交易量
24%
1.0-1.2%
$19,361 交易量
41%
1.3%+
$4,063 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth market reflects trader focus on the export-driven recovery evident in H1 data, where Q2 expanded 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-over-year after upward revisions. Recent forecasts from the Kiel Institute and ifo Institute lifted 2026 annual growth to 1.3–1.4% on fiscal stimulus and resilient foreign demand, supporting the 41% implied probability on the 1.0–1.2% bucket. Elevated 2.7% inflation continues to constrain private consumption, while low Rhine water levels earlier in the summer introduced temporary industrial drag, though conditions have improved. Expansionary fiscal measures and modest gains in business sentiment indicators underpin the 24% odds on 0.7–0.9% and 14.5% on 1.3%+, with the initial Destatis release due October 30 expected to clarify momentum amid ongoing structural and geopolitical uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$32,203结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth market reflects trader focus on the export-driven recovery evident in H1 data, where Q2 expanded 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-over-year after upward revisions. Recent forecasts from the Kiel Institute and ifo Institute lifted 2026 annual growth to 1.3–1.4% on fiscal stimulus and resilient foreign demand, supporting the 41% implied probability on the 1.0–1.2% bucket. Elevated 2.7% inflation continues to constrain private consumption, while low Rhine water levels earlier in the summer introduced temporary industrial drag, though conditions have improved. Expansionary fiscal measures and modest gains in business sentiment indicators underpin the 24% odds on 0.7–0.9% and 14.5% on 1.3%+, with the initial Destatis release due October 30 expected to clarify momentum amid ongoing structural and geopolitical uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,203结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETGermany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth market reflects trader focus on the export-driven recovery evident in H1 data, where Q2 expanded 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-over-year after upward revisions. Recent forecasts from the Kiel Institute and ifo Institute lifted 2026 annual growth to 1.3–1.4% on fiscal stimulus and resilient foreign demand, supporting the 41% implied probability on the 1.0–1.2% bucket. Elevated 2.7% inflation continues to constrain private consumption, while low Rhine water levels earlier in the summer introduced temporary industrial drag, though conditions have improved. Expansionary fiscal measures and modest gains in business sentiment indicators underpin the 24% odds on 0.7–0.9% and 14.5% on 1.3%+, with the initial Destatis release due October 30 expected to clarify momentum amid ongoing structural and geopolitical uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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