Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年第32周流感住院率？
2026年第32周流感住院率？
0.1 99.9%
<0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$5,091 交易量
$5,091 交易量
2026-08-21
<0.1
否
0.1
是
>0.1
否
0.1 99.9%
<0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$5,091 交易量
$5,091 交易量
2026-08-21
<0.1
$2,928 交易量
否
0.1
$1,314 交易量
是
>0.1
$849 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$5,091结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$5,091结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Flu activity remains minimal in late summer, with CDC FluSurv-NET data historically showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population during August weeks when influenza circulation is suppressed by higher temperatures, reduced indoor contact, and low viral transmission. This off-season pattern, consistent with baseline epidemiological surveillance, underpins the near-certain market consensus for a 0.1 rate in week 32. An anomalous early-season surge, revised surveillance methodology, or reporting threshold shift could alter the outcome, though such events are rare outside typical November–March peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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