Byron Donalds secured a commanding victory in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary with roughly 48% of the vote against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and James Fishback at 10.5%, producing a margin near 23 points. An early and prominent endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among MAGA-aligned voters and party leaders, while Donalds maintained double-digit leads in nearly all primary polls through superior fundraising, broad regional strength, and a fragmented field that split remaining votes among multiple challengers. The outcome aligned closely with pre-election polling averages showing Donalds in the mid-to-high 40s. Late certification, vote-count disputes in specific counties, or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest paths that could still alter the final certified margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于唐纳兹20-25% 100.0%
唐纳兹25–30% 2.3%
唐纳兹40%以上 <1%
唐纳兹35-40% <1%
$87,179 交易量
$87,179 交易量
2026-08-18
唐纳兹40%以上
否
唐纳兹35-40%
否
唐纳兹 30–35%
否
唐纳兹25–30%
否
唐纳兹20-25%
是
唐纳兹15-20%
否
唐纳兹10-15%
否
唐纳兹 5–10%
否
唐纳兹<5%
否
柯林斯获胜
否
菲什巴克获胜
否
唐纳兹20-25% 100.0%
唐纳兹25–30% 2.3%
唐纳兹40%以上 <1%
唐纳兹35-40% <1%
$87,179 交易量
$87,179 交易量
2026-08-18
唐纳兹40%以上
$34,848 交易量
否
唐纳兹35-40%
$15,397 交易量
否
唐纳兹 30–35%
$7,840 交易量
否
唐纳兹25–30%
$8,792 交易量
否
唐纳兹20-25%
$2,218 交易量
是
唐纳兹15-20%
$3,879 交易量
否
唐纳兹10-15%
$3,381 交易量
否
唐纳兹 5–10%
$3,330 交易量
否
唐纳兹<5%
$4,275 交易量
否
柯林斯获胜
$2,193 交易量
否
菲什巴克获胜
$1,025 交易量
否
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured a commanding victory in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary with roughly 48% of the vote against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and James Fishback at 10.5%, producing a margin near 23 points. An early and prominent endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among MAGA-aligned voters and party leaders, while Donalds maintained double-digit leads in nearly all primary polls through superior fundraising, broad regional strength, and a fragmented field that split remaining votes among multiple challengers. The outcome aligned closely with pre-election polling averages showing Donalds in the mid-to-high 40s. Late certification, vote-count disputes in specific counties, or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest paths that could still alter the final certified margin.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
交易量
$87,179结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured a commanding victory in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary with roughly 48% of the vote against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and James Fishback at 10.5%, producing a margin near 23 points. An early and prominent endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among MAGA-aligned voters and party leaders, while Donalds maintained double-digit leads in nearly all primary polls through superior fundraising, broad regional strength, and a fragmented field that split remaining votes among multiple challengers. The outcome aligned closely with pre-election polling averages showing Donalds in the mid-to-high 40s. Late certification, vote-count disputes in specific counties, or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest paths that could still alter the final certified margin.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$87,179结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Byron Donalds secured a commanding victory in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary with roughly 48% of the vote against Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and James Fishback at 10.5%, producing a margin near 23 points. An early and prominent endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among MAGA-aligned voters and party leaders, while Donalds maintained double-digit leads in nearly all primary polls through superior fundraising, broad regional strength, and a fragmented field that split remaining votes among multiple challengers. The outcome aligned closely with pre-election polling averages showing Donalds in the mid-to-high 40s. Late certification, vote-count disputes in specific counties, or unforeseen legal challenges represent the narrowest paths that could still alter the final certified margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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