Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Florida 7th District Republican primary by roughly 13 points, finishing near 47% to Mills’ 34% with the remaining votes split among two minor candidates. Trader consensus on the 10–15% margin reflects these certified results and the campaign dynamics that produced them, including Elijah’s late endorsements from local sheriffs and Republican lawmakers, stronger grassroots organization, and higher recent fundraising. Mills faced headwinds from reports of investigations into personal and financial matters. The outcome remains subject to final certification and any administrative adjustments to vote totals, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the leading bucket appear unlikely based on reported precinct data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Elijah 10–15% 100.0%
米尔斯25%+ <1%
米尔斯20-25% <1%
Mills 15-20% <1%
$3,036 交易量
$3,036 交易量
2026-08-18
米尔斯25%+
否
米尔斯20-25%
否
Mills 15-20%
否
米尔斯10–15%
否
米尔斯5-10%
否
Mills <5%
否
Elijah <5%
否
Elijah 5–10%
否
Elijah 10–15%
是
以利亚15-20%
否
Elijah 20-25%
否
Elijah 25%+
否
Elijah 10–15% 100.0%
米尔斯25%+ <1%
米尔斯20-25% <1%
Mills 15-20% <1%
$3,036 交易量
$3,036 交易量
2026-08-18
米尔斯25%+
$362 交易量
否
米尔斯20-25%
$273 交易量
否
Mills 15-20%
$458 交易量
否
米尔斯10–15%
$305 交易量
否
米尔斯5-10%
$255 交易量
否
Mills <5%
$305 交易量
否
Elijah <5%
$105 交易量
否
Elijah 5–10%
$255 交易量
否
Elijah 10–15%
$85 交易量
是
以利亚15-20%
$265 交易量
否
Elijah 20-25%
$255 交易量
否
Elijah 25%+
$112 交易量
否
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Florida 7th District Republican primary by roughly 13 points, finishing near 47% to Mills’ 34% with the remaining votes split among two minor candidates. Trader consensus on the 10–15% margin reflects these certified results and the campaign dynamics that produced them, including Elijah’s late endorsements from local sheriffs and Republican lawmakers, stronger grassroots organization, and higher recent fundraising. Mills faced headwinds from reports of investigations into personal and financial matters. The outcome remains subject to final certification and any administrative adjustments to vote totals, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the leading bucket appear unlikely based on reported precinct data.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$3,036结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Florida 7th District Republican primary by roughly 13 points, finishing near 47% to Mills’ 34% with the remaining votes split among two minor candidates. Trader consensus on the 10–15% margin reflects these certified results and the campaign dynamics that produced them, including Elijah’s late endorsements from local sheriffs and Republican lawmakers, stronger grassroots organization, and higher recent fundraising. Mills faced headwinds from reports of investigations into personal and financial matters. The outcome remains subject to final certification and any administrative adjustments to vote totals, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the leading bucket appear unlikely based on reported precinct data.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$3,036结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Florida 7th District Republican primary by roughly 13 points, finishing near 47% to Mills’ 34% with the remaining votes split among two minor candidates. Trader consensus on the 10–15% margin reflects these certified results and the campaign dynamics that produced them, including Elijah’s late endorsements from local sheriffs and Republican lawmakers, stronger grassroots organization, and higher recent fundraising. Mills faced headwinds from reports of investigations into personal and financial matters. The outcome remains subject to final certification and any administrative adjustments to vote totals, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the leading bucket appear unlikely based on reported precinct data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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