Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine commands 85% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary on August 18, driven by his fundraising dominance—$762,000 cash-on-hand from Q1 2026 reports—and incumbency advantage in a Solid Republican district that backed Trump by 30 points. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian's early April entry as a social media influencer boosted his odds to 7%, fueled by controversy over foreign policy critiques of Fine, though his lack of reported fundraising tempers momentum. Local grassroots candidate Aaron Baker trails at 6.9% with modest $3,000 cash reserves amid a crowded field of at least six Republicans, diluting anti-incumbent votes ahead of qualifying on June 12. No recent polls or major endorsements have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Randy Fine 85%
Dan Bilzerian 7.1%
亚伦·贝克 6.9%
亚历山德拉·范·克里夫 <1%
$143,016 交易量
$143,016 交易量
Randy Fine
85%
Dan Bilzerian
7%
亚伦·贝克
7%
亚历山德拉·范·克里夫
<1%
Joshua Vasquez
<1%
查尔斯·甘巴罗
<1%
厄内斯特·奥迪诺
<1%
Randy Fine 85%
Dan Bilzerian 7.1%
亚伦·贝克 6.9%
亚历山德拉·范·克里夫 <1%
$143,016 交易量
$143,016 交易量
Randy Fine
85%
Dan Bilzerian
7%
亚伦·贝克
7%
亚历山德拉·范·克里夫
<1%
Joshua Vasquez
<1%
查尔斯·甘巴罗
<1%
厄内斯特·奥迪诺
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine commands 85% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary on August 18, driven by his fundraising dominance—$762,000 cash-on-hand from Q1 2026 reports—and incumbency advantage in a Solid Republican district that backed Trump by 30 points. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian's early April entry as a social media influencer boosted his odds to 7%, fueled by controversy over foreign policy critiques of Fine, though his lack of reported fundraising tempers momentum. Local grassroots candidate Aaron Baker trails at 6.9% with modest $3,000 cash reserves amid a crowded field of at least six Republicans, diluting anti-incumbent votes ahead of qualifying on June 12. No recent polls or major endorsements have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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