In Georgia's 6th congressional district, incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican nominee Kevin Martin in the November 3 general election for the U.S. House seat. McBath secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the May primary, while Martin defeated his primary challenger with over 70 percent of the vote. The district's suburban Atlanta composition and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles create a strong baseline for McBath to exceed 50 percent, avoiding the December 1 runoff under Georgia's majority-vote requirement. Trader consensus at 97.3 percent for an outright winner reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican path to forcing a second round. Late developments such as unusually low Democratic turnout, a national Republican surge, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
97% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
97% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.In Georgia's 6th congressional district, incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican nominee Kevin Martin in the November 3 general election for the U.S. House seat. McBath secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the May primary, while Martin defeated his primary challenger with over 70 percent of the vote. The district's suburban Atlanta composition and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles create a strong baseline for McBath to exceed 50 percent, avoiding the December 1 runoff under Georgia's majority-vote requirement. Trader consensus at 97.3 percent for an outright winner reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican path to forcing a second round. Late developments such as unusually low Democratic turnout, a national Republican surge, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts make such shifts improbable.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
交易量
$234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETThe first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.In Georgia's 6th congressional district, incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican nominee Kevin Martin in the November 3 general election for the U.S. House seat. McBath secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the May primary, while Martin defeated his primary challenger with over 70 percent of the vote. The district's suburban Atlanta composition and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles create a strong baseline for McBath to exceed 50 percent, avoiding the December 1 runoff under Georgia's majority-vote requirement. Trader consensus at 97.3 percent for an outright winner reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican path to forcing a second round. Late developments such as unusually low Democratic turnout, a national Republican surge, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts make such shifts improbable.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
交易量
$234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETIn Georgia's 6th congressional district, incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican nominee Kevin Martin in the November 3 general election for the U.S. House seat. McBath secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the May primary, while Martin defeated his primary challenger with over 70 percent of the vote. The district's suburban Atlanta composition and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles create a strong baseline for McBath to exceed 50 percent, avoiding the December 1 runoff under Georgia's majority-vote requirement. Trader consensus at 97.3 percent for an outright winner reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican path to forcing a second round. Late developments such as unusually low Democratic turnout, a national Republican surge, or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similar districts make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题