The GA-03 contest features Republican incumbent Brian Jack facing Democrat Maura Keller in the November 3 general election, following unopposed and 61%-victory primaries respectively in May. The district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters reflect a structural GOP advantage that has produced double-digit margins in recent cycles. This positioning supports trader expectations of an outright majority for the leading candidate, avoiding Georgia's December 1 runoff threshold. National midterm dynamics, turnout patterns among suburban and rural voters, and any late independent candidacies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin and elevate runoff risk. Current implied probabilities capture this balance between the district's baseline partisan tilt and residual uncertainty over final vote share.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
0% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
0% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.The GA-03 contest features Republican incumbent Brian Jack facing Democrat Maura Keller in the November 3 general election, following unopposed and 61%-victory primaries respectively in May. The district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters reflect a structural GOP advantage that has produced double-digit margins in recent cycles. This positioning supports trader expectations of an outright majority for the leading candidate, avoiding Georgia's December 1 runoff threshold. National midterm dynamics, turnout patterns among suburban and rural voters, and any late independent candidacies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin and elevate runoff risk. Current implied probabilities capture this balance between the district's baseline partisan tilt and residual uncertainty over final vote share.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETThe first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.The GA-03 contest features Republican incumbent Brian Jack facing Democrat Maura Keller in the November 3 general election, following unopposed and 61%-victory primaries respectively in May. The district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters reflect a structural GOP advantage that has produced double-digit margins in recent cycles. This positioning supports trader expectations of an outright majority for the leading candidate, avoiding Georgia's December 1 runoff threshold. National midterm dynamics, turnout patterns among suburban and rural voters, and any late independent candidacies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin and elevate runoff risk. Current implied probabilities capture this balance between the district's baseline partisan tilt and residual uncertainty over final vote share.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETThe GA-03 contest features Republican incumbent Brian Jack facing Democrat Maura Keller in the November 3 general election, following unopposed and 61%-victory primaries respectively in May. The district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters reflect a structural GOP advantage that has produced double-digit margins in recent cycles. This positioning supports trader expectations of an outright majority for the leading candidate, avoiding Georgia's December 1 runoff threshold. National midterm dynamics, turnout patterns among suburban and rural voters, and any late independent candidacies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin and elevate runoff risk. Current implied probabilities capture this balance between the district's baseline partisan tilt and residual uncertainty over final vote share.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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