**Incumbent Sanford Bishop Jr. (D) faces limited opposition in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district, a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters.** The general-election ballot features Bishop, Republican Matt Day, and minor-party candidate Brandon Daley, following May and June 2026 primaries that produced no major surprises or high-profile challengers. Georgia’s election rules require a majority for an outright win on November 3, with a potential December 1 runoff otherwise. Trader pricing at 91.8% for an outright winner reflects the district’s partisan lean (D+4 PVI range in recent cycles) and Bishop’s established incumbency advantage, which historically produces comfortable majorities well above 50%. Limited Republican resources and the absence of polling showing a competitive race further support the consensus that vote-splitting or a narrow contest is unlikely. No late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
95% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
95% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.**Incumbent Sanford Bishop Jr. (D) faces limited opposition in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district, a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters.** The general-election ballot features Bishop, Republican Matt Day, and minor-party candidate Brandon Daley, following May and June 2026 primaries that produced no major surprises or high-profile challengers. Georgia’s election rules require a majority for an outright win on November 3, with a potential December 1 runoff otherwise.
Trader pricing at 91.8% for an outright winner reflects the district’s partisan lean (D+4 PVI range in recent cycles) and Bishop’s established incumbency advantage, which historically produces comfortable majorities well above 50%. Limited Republican resources and the absence of polling showing a competitive race further support the consensus that vote-splitting or a narrow contest is unlikely. No late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November ballot.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
交易量
$352结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETThe first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.**Incumbent Sanford Bishop Jr. (D) faces limited opposition in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district, a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters.** The general-election ballot features Bishop, Republican Matt Day, and minor-party candidate Brandon Daley, following May and June 2026 primaries that produced no major surprises or high-profile challengers. Georgia’s election rules require a majority for an outright win on November 3, with a potential December 1 runoff otherwise.
Trader pricing at 91.8% for an outright winner reflects the district’s partisan lean (D+4 PVI range in recent cycles) and Bishop’s established incumbency advantage, which historically produces comfortable majorities well above 50%. Limited Republican resources and the absence of polling showing a competitive race further support the consensus that vote-splitting or a narrow contest is unlikely. No late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November ballot.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
交易量
$352结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET**Incumbent Sanford Bishop Jr. (D) faces limited opposition in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district, a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters.** The general-election ballot features Bishop, Republican Matt Day, and minor-party candidate Brandon Daley, following May and June 2026 primaries that produced no major surprises or high-profile challengers. Georgia’s election rules require a majority for an outright win on November 3, with a potential December 1 runoff otherwise. Trader pricing at 91.8% for an outright winner reflects the district’s partisan lean (D+4 PVI range in recent cycles) and Bishop’s established incumbency advantage, which historically produces comfortable majorities well above 50%. Limited Republican resources and the absence of polling showing a competitive race further support the consensus that vote-splitting or a narrow contest is unlikely. No late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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