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icon for Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?

icon for Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?

960-999 99.9%

少于400 <1%

400-419 <1%

420-439 <1%

Polymarket

$333,107 交易量

960-999 99.9%

少于400 <1%

400-419 <1%

420-439 <1%

Polymarket

$333,107 交易量

少于400

$17,718 交易量

400-419

$3,131 交易量

420-439

$2,905 交易量

440-459

$2,663 交易量

460-479

$4,470 交易量

480-499

$1,609 交易量

500-519

$3,519 交易量

520-539

$4,320 交易量

540-559

$4,306 交易量

560-579

$4,243 交易量

580-599

$5,768 交易量

600-639

$6,907 交易量

640-679

$3,283 交易量

680-719

$3,811 交易量

720-759

$4,979 交易量

760-799

$16,102 交易量

800-839

$19,320 交易量

840-879

$16,914 交易量

880-919

$30,290 交易量

920-959

$46,580 交易量

960-999

$31,993 交易量

1000-1039

$36,831 交易量

1040-1079

$14,402 交易量

1080-1119

$11,074 交易量

1120-1159

$6,350 交易量

1160-1199

$7,879 交易量

1200-1239

$5,990 交易量

1240-1279

$2,450 交易量

1280-1319

$1,933 交易量

1320-1359

$4,912 交易量

1360-1399

$1,768 交易量

1400+

$4,687 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X remains elevated in mid-June 2026, with daily counts fluctuating between roughly 15 and 100 in the first half of the month and weekly totals already exceeding 230 in one recent stretch. This sustained activity, driven by real-time commentary on policy, technology, and platform developments, supports the clustered probabilities around 880–959 tweets for the full month. The close contest between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over the remaining twelve days, where business announcements, geopolitical events, or high-engagement topics could add or subtract several dozen posts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume can swing sharply with news cycles, keeping the implied distribution tight until clearer end-of-month data emerges.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$333,107
结束日期
2026-07-01
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X remains elevated in mid-June 2026, with daily counts fluctuating between roughly 15 and 100 in the first half of the month and weekly totals already exceeding 230 in one recent stretch. This sustained activity, driven by real-time commentary on policy, technology, and platform developments, supports the clustered probabilities around 880–959 tweets for the full month. The close contest between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over the remaining twelve days, where business announcements, geopolitical events, or high-engagement topics could add or subtract several dozen posts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume can swing sharply with news cycles, keeping the implied distribution tight until clearer end-of-month data emerges.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$333,107
结束日期
2026-07-01
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 32 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"960-999",概率为 100%,其次是"少于400",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?"已产生 $333.1K 的总交易量(自Jun 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 32 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?"的当前领先者是"960-999",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"少于400",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk在2026年6月# tweets ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。