Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于40条 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,595,299 交易量
$1,595,299 交易量
2026-05-11
少于40条
是
40-64
否
65-89
否
90-114
否
115-139
否
140-164
No
165-189
否
190-214
否
215-239
否
240条以上
否
少于40条 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,595,299 交易量
$1,595,299 交易量
2026-05-11
少于40条
$382,037 交易量
是
40-64
$238,372 交易量
否
65-89
$331,921 交易量
否
90-114
$508,477 交易量
否
115-139
$59,227 交易量
否
140-164
$25,016 交易量
No
165-189
$23,326 交易量
否
190-214
$11,833 交易量
否
215-239
$10,591 交易量
否
240条以上
$4,499 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,595,299结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,595,299结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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