Elon Musk's consistent high-volume activity on X underpins the market's overwhelming consensus around 40-64 tweets for the June 11-13 window. Traders cite his established pattern of frequent posting—often 10-20 times daily during business or news cycles—as the dominant factor, reinforced by recent platform engagement metrics and absence of any announced breaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified historical trajectories rather than speculation. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as extended travel, regulatory focus, or deliberate restraint that deviates sharply from his norm, though such shifts have proven rare in comparable short windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,525,393 交易量
$1,525,393 交易量
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,525,393 交易量
$1,525,393 交易量
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Elon Musk's consistent high-volume activity on X underpins the market's overwhelming consensus around 40-64 tweets for the June 11-13 window. Traders cite his established pattern of frequent posting—often 10-20 times daily during business or news cycles—as the dominant factor, reinforced by recent platform engagement metrics and absence of any announced breaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified historical trajectories rather than speculation. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as extended travel, regulatory focus, or deliberate restraint that deviates sharply from his norm, though such shifts have proven rare in comparable short windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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