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icon for Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?

icon for Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?

Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?

880-919 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$726,617 交易量

880-919 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$726,617 交易量

<20

$1,836 交易量

No

20-39

$803 交易量

No

40-59

$994 交易量

No

60-79

$725 交易量

No

80-99

$725 交易量

No

100-119

$794 交易量

No

120-139

$775 交易量

No

140-159

$814 交易量

No

160-179

$814 交易量

No

180-199

$437 交易量

No

200-219

$317 交易量

No

220-239

$169 交易量

No

240-259

$169 交易量

No

260-279

$169 交易量

No

280-299

$169 交易量

No

300-319

$169 交易量

No

320-339

$169 交易量

No

340-359

$169 交易量

No

360-379

$169 交易量

No

380-399

$429 交易量

No

400-419

$435 交易量

No

420-439

$5,043 交易量

No

440-459

$3,637 交易量

No

460-479

$7,034 交易量

No

480-499

$13,764 交易量

No

500-519

$8,390 交易量

No

520-539

$15,482 交易量

No

540-559

$12,404 交易量

No

560-579

$14,392 交易量

No

580-599

$15,937 交易量

No

600-619

$15,093 交易量

No

620-639

$11,809 交易量

No

640-659

$6,874 交易量

No

660-679

$6,147 交易量

No

680-699

$8,201 交易量

No

700-719

$11,524 交易量

No

720-739

$13,351 交易量

No

740-759

$14,069 交易量

No

760-779

$28,291 交易量

No

780-799

$36,058 交易量

No

800-839

$97,040 交易量

No

840-879

$183,591 交易量

No

880-919

$65,847 交易量

Yes

920-959

$50,443 交易量

No

960-999

$38,870 交易量

No

1000+

$32,075 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on the 880-919 range for Elon Musk’s August 2026 X activity because his established daily cadence held steady without major spikes or drop-offs. Consistent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader tech topics produced a predictable volume that aligned with historical averages of roughly 28–30 posts per day once replies were excluded. No late-month political firestorms, product launches, or viral threads pushed totals into higher brackets, allowing the market to price the outcome near certainty. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from breaking news, a high-profile personal announcement, or extended engagement in contested threads during the final days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$726,617
结束日期
2026-09-01
市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on the 880-919 range for Elon Musk’s August 2026 X activity because his established daily cadence held steady without major spikes or drop-offs. Consistent commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and broader tech topics produced a predictable volume that aligned with historical averages of roughly 28–30 posts per day once replies were excluded. No late-month political firestorms, product launches, or viral threads pushed totals into higher brackets, allowing the market to price the outcome near certainty. An upset would require an unforeseen surge from breaking news, a high-profile personal announcement, or extended engagement in contested threads during the final days.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$726,617
结束日期
2026-09-01
市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

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常见问题

"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 46+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"880-919",概率为 100%,其次是"<20",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?"已产生 $726.6K 的总交易量(自Jul 24, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 46+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?"的当前领先者是"880-919",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<20",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk在2026年8月# tweets ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。