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icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?

320-339 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$4,450,965 交易量

320-339 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$4,450,965 交易量

<20

$11,411 交易量

No

20-39

$28,671 交易量

No

40-59

$40,557 交易量

No

60-79

$55,711 交易量

No

80-99

$46,013 交易量

No

100-119

$55,445 交易量

No

120-139

$58,976 交易量

No

140-159

$76,956 交易量

No

160-179

$67,491 交易量

No

180-199

$75,541 交易量

No

200-219

$156,665 交易量

No

220-239

$164,403 交易量

No

240-259

$362,235 交易量

No

260-279

$280,194 交易量

No

280-299

$310,539 交易量

No

300-319

$298,984 交易量

No

320-339

$310,889 交易量

Yes

340-359

$354,624 交易量

No

360-379

$268,578 交易量

No

380-399

$286,531 交易量

No

400-419

$270,733 交易量

No

420-439

$229,570 交易量

No

440-459

$154,508 交易量

No

460-479

$136,325 交易量

No

480-499

$125,544 交易量

No

500+

$223,871 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,450,965
结束日期
2026-08-25
市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,450,965
结束日期
2026-08-25
市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

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常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 26 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"320-339",概率为 100%,其次是"<20",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?"已产生 $4.5 million 的总交易量(自Aug 15, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 26 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?"的当前领先者是"320-339",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<20",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月18日至8月25日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。