Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the 65-89 tweet range at virtually 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25 noon ET, driven by the official xtracker.polymarket.com data logging mid-20s countable posts daily—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—across the period, putting the total firmly in that bin with just hours remaining. Recent developments show subdued activity amid low-key cultural moments, lacking the viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political firestorms that historically fuel Elon's tweet barrages beyond 30 per day. An upset would require an unprecedented 20+ extra main feed posts in the final stretch, improbable without a major catalyst like breaking SpaceX news.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于65-89 100.0%
少于40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,082,804 交易量
$2,082,804 交易量
2026-04-25
少于40
否
40-64
否
65-89
是
90-114
否
115-139
否
140-164
否
165-189
否
190-214
否
215-239
否
240+
否
65-89 100.0%
少于40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,082,804 交易量
$2,082,804 交易量
2026-04-25
少于40
$230,893 交易量
否
40-64
$270,824 交易量
否
65-89
$411,464 交易量
是
90-114
$530,880 交易量
否
115-139
$300,591 交易量
否
140-164
$103,077 交易量
否
165-189
$40,534 交易量
否
190-214
$110,100 交易量
否
215-239
$43,637 交易量
否
240+
$40,804 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the 65-89 tweet range at virtually 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25 noon ET, driven by the official xtracker.polymarket.com data logging mid-20s countable posts daily—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—across the period, putting the total firmly in that bin with just hours remaining. Recent developments show subdued activity amid low-key cultural moments, lacking the viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political firestorms that historically fuel Elon's tweet barrages beyond 30 per day. An upset would require an unprecedented 20+ extra main feed posts in the final stretch, improbable without a major catalyst like breaking SpaceX news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$2,082,804结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the 65-89 tweet range at virtually 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25 noon ET, driven by the official xtracker.polymarket.com data logging mid-20s countable posts daily—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—across the period, putting the total firmly in that bin with just hours remaining. Recent developments show subdued activity amid low-key cultural moments, lacking the viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political firestorms that historically fuel Elon's tweet barrages beyond 30 per day. An upset would require an unprecedented 20+ extra main feed posts in the final stretch, improbable without a major catalyst like breaking SpaceX news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,082,804结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs the 65-89 tweet range at virtually 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's X posts from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25 noon ET, driven by the official xtracker.polymarket.com data logging mid-20s countable posts daily—main feed originals, quotes, and reposts—across the period, putting the total firmly in that bin with just hours remaining. Recent developments show subdued activity amid low-key cultural moments, lacking the viral controversies, Tesla announcements, or political firestorms that historically fuel Elon's tweet barrages beyond 30 per day. An upset would require an unprecedented 20+ extra main feed posts in the final stretch, improbable without a major catalyst like breaking SpaceX news.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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