Trump assumed the presidency on January 20, 2025, after the 2024 election, with his term structured to run through January 2029 under standard constitutional timelines. No impeachment resolution advanced through the House with sufficient support for Senate conviction, no invocation of the 25th Amendment occurred via the vice president and cabinet, and no resignation or incapacity events altered succession. Institutional checks, including congressional composition after the 2026 midterms, have not produced the supermajorities or procedural triggers needed for removal by the September 30 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this lack of catalytic developments in the prior months. Late-breaking health incidents, unforeseen disqualifying rulings, or rapid congressional shifts remain the narrow pathways that could theoretically reopen the outcome despite the elapsed date.