Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, advised by Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, has anchored trader sentiment around an 8–11B closing market cap at 24.5% implied probability, closely aligned with secondary-market valuations near $8.53 billion as of mid-2026. Revenue growth to roughly $550–600 million annualized supports this range amid broader tech IPO caution, while the 22.4% odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect delays from regulatory backlog and subdued valuations relative to the 2021 peak of $14.7–15 billion. Competitive dynamics hinge on monetization progress in gaming and advertising alongside macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and risk appetite that could shift the IPO window or final pricing thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于80–110亿美元 25%
截至2027年12月31日无IPO 22.4%
小于50亿 16%
200亿美元及以上 15.1%
$30,531 交易量
$30,531 交易量
2027-12-31
小于50亿
16%
50–80亿美元
11%
80–110亿美元
25%
110–140亿美元
9%
140–170亿美元
2%
170–200亿美元
7%
200亿美元及以上
15%
截至2027年12月31日无IPO
22%
80–110亿美元 25%
截至2027年12月31日无IPO 22.4%
小于50亿 16%
200亿美元及以上 15.1%
$30,531 交易量
$30,531 交易量
2027-12-31
小于50亿
$2,291 交易量
16%
50–80亿美元
$3,457 交易量
11%
80–110亿美元
$11,343 交易量
25%
110–140亿美元
$2,545 交易量
9%
140–170亿美元
$1,583 交易量
2%
170–200亿美元
$4,183 交易量
7%
200亿美元及以上
$1,610 交易量
15%
截至2027年12月31日无IPO
$3,521 交易量
22%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, advised by Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, has anchored trader sentiment around an 8–11B closing market cap at 24.5% implied probability, closely aligned with secondary-market valuations near $8.53 billion as of mid-2026. Revenue growth to roughly $550–600 million annualized supports this range amid broader tech IPO caution, while the 22.4% odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect delays from regulatory backlog and subdued valuations relative to the 2021 peak of $14.7–15 billion. Competitive dynamics hinge on monetization progress in gaming and advertising alongside macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and risk appetite that could shift the IPO window or final pricing thresholds.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$30,531结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, advised by Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, has anchored trader sentiment around an 8–11B closing market cap at 24.5% implied probability, closely aligned with secondary-market valuations near $8.53 billion as of mid-2026. Revenue growth to roughly $550–600 million annualized supports this range amid broader tech IPO caution, while the 22.4% odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect delays from regulatory backlog and subdued valuations relative to the 2021 peak of $14.7–15 billion. Competitive dynamics hinge on monetization progress in gaming and advertising alongside macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and risk appetite that could shift the IPO window or final pricing thresholds.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$30,531结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026, advised by Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan, has anchored trader sentiment around an 8–11B closing market cap at 24.5% implied probability, closely aligned with secondary-market valuations near $8.53 billion as of mid-2026. Revenue growth to roughly $550–600 million annualized supports this range amid broader tech IPO caution, while the 22.4% odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect delays from regulatory backlog and subdued valuations relative to the 2021 peak of $14.7–15 billion. Competitive dynamics hinge on monetization progress in gaming and advertising alongside macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and risk appetite that could shift the IPO window or final pricing thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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