Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons, seeking a fourth term in the Class 2 seat, commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic hold in Delaware's reliably blue U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's consistent Democratic presidential margins—Kamala Harris won by 15 points in 2024—and uninterrupted party control since 2001. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this positioning, with Coons facing only minor primary opposition from Christopher Beardsley ahead of the September 15, 2026, primaries. Republicans have fielded early candidate John Shulli, but structural barriers like incumbency advantage and weak statewide GOP infrastructure persist. Odds could shift via Coons health issues, scandals, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,557 交易量
$11,557 交易量

民主党
93%

共和党
6%
$11,557 交易量
$11,557 交易量

民主党
93%

共和党
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons, seeking a fourth term in the Class 2 seat, commands trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic hold in Delaware's reliably blue U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's consistent Democratic presidential margins—Kamala Harris won by 15 points in 2024—and uninterrupted party control since 2001. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this positioning, with Coons facing only minor primary opposition from Christopher Beardsley ahead of the September 15, 2026, primaries. Republicans have fielded early candidate John Shulli, but structural barriers like incumbency advantage and weak statewide GOP infrastructure persist. Odds could shift via Coons health issues, scandals, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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