Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, with a 0.2% monthly increase driven by shelter and services components amid softer goods prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of late August pointed to roughly 2.38% for the August reading, reflecting continued moderation in underlying pressures while services inflation remains sticky. Steady jobless claims and wage trends have reinforced trader expectations for incremental cooling ahead of the September 11 release, though residual tariff effects and labor-market volatility introduce modest upside risks. Polymarket-implied odds concentrate on 2.3% and 2.4% outcomes, consistent with this trajectory and the recent disinflationary pattern in official releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.4% 45%
2.3% 34%
2.5% 13%
2.2% 6.7%
$21,381 交易量
$21,381 交易量
2026-09-10
≤2.0%
2%
2.1%
1%
2.2%
7%
2.3%
34%
2.4%
45%
2.5%
13%
2.6%
2%
2.7%
2%
2.8%
1%
≥2.9%
1%
2.4% 45%
2.3% 34%
2.5% 13%
2.2% 6.7%
$21,381 交易量
$21,381 交易量
2026-09-10
≤2.0%
$457 交易量
2%
2.1%
$457 交易量
1%
2.2%
$630 交易量
7%
2.3%
$2,158 交易量
34%
2.4%
$11,760 交易量
45%
2.5%
$2,478 交易量
13%
2.6%
$931 交易量
2%
2.7%
$1,080 交易量
2%
2.8%
$938 交易量
1%
≥2.9%
$492 交易量
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, with a 0.2% monthly increase driven by shelter and services components amid softer goods prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of late August pointed to roughly 2.38% for the August reading, reflecting continued moderation in underlying pressures while services inflation remains sticky. Steady jobless claims and wage trends have reinforced trader expectations for incremental cooling ahead of the September 11 release, though residual tariff effects and labor-market volatility introduce modest upside risks. Polymarket-implied odds concentrate on 2.3% and 2.4% outcomes, consistent with this trajectory and the recent disinflationary pattern in official releases.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
交易量
$21,381结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETThis is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, with a 0.2% monthly increase driven by shelter and services components amid softer goods prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of late August pointed to roughly 2.38% for the August reading, reflecting continued moderation in underlying pressures while services inflation remains sticky. Steady jobless claims and wage trends have reinforced trader expectations for incremental cooling ahead of the September 11 release, though residual tariff effects and labor-market volatility introduce modest upside risks. Polymarket-implied odds concentrate on 2.3% and 2.4% outcomes, consistent with this trajectory and the recent disinflationary pattern in official releases.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$21,381结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETRecent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, with a 0.2% monthly increase driven by shelter and services components amid softer goods prices. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of late August pointed to roughly 2.38% for the August reading, reflecting continued moderation in underlying pressures while services inflation remains sticky. Steady jobless claims and wage trends have reinforced trader expectations for incremental cooling ahead of the September 11 release, though residual tariff effects and labor-market volatility introduce modest upside risks. Polymarket-implied odds concentrate on 2.3% and 2.4% outcomes, consistent with this trajectory and the recent disinflationary pattern in official releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题