The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kiros 10–15% 100.0%
基罗斯20%以上 <1%
基罗斯15-20% <1%
Kiros 5-10% <1%
$16,659 交易量
$16,659 交易量
基罗斯20%以上
否
基罗斯15-20%
否
Kiros 10–15%
是
Kiros 5-10%
否
Kiros <5%
否
德盖特＜5%
否
德盖特5%+
否
其他
否
Kiros 10–15% 100.0%
基罗斯20%以上 <1%
基罗斯15-20% <1%
Kiros 5-10% <1%
$16,659 交易量
$16,659 交易量
基罗斯20%以上
$939 交易量
否
基罗斯15-20%
$2,280 交易量
否
Kiros 10–15%
$7,624 交易量
是
Kiros 5-10%
$2,513 交易量
否
Kiros <5%
$1,149 交易量
否
德盖特＜5%
$667 交易量
否
德盖特5%+
$656 交易量
否
其他
$830 交易量
否
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
交易量
$16,659市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$16,659市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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