Persistent Middle East supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins totaling over 10 million barrels per day continue to anchor elevated WTI crude prices, supporting the 62.5% market-implied probability of a June 2026 settlement above $84. Recent diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran has introduced modest downside pressure, with futures trading near $96–$97 amid inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. Trader consensus reflects the steep backwardation in futures curves, pricing in gradual supply relief only later in 2026, while key catalysts including potential Strait reopening timelines and upcoming EIA inventory data could influence whether prices hold above $84 or moderate toward the $77–$84 range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油( CL )在6月份的结算时间是什么?
>84美元 63%
77美元-84美元 19%
70美元至77美元 11.1%
$63-$70 3.6%
$199,014 交易量
$199,014 交易量
低于42美元
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
4%
70美元至77美元
11%
77美元-84美元
19%
>84美元
63%
>84美元 63%
77美元-84美元 19%
70美元至77美元 11.1%
$63-$70 3.6%
$199,014 交易量
$199,014 交易量
低于42美元
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
4%
70美元至77美元
11%
77美元-84美元
19%
>84美元
63%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Persistent Middle East supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins totaling over 10 million barrels per day continue to anchor elevated WTI crude prices, supporting the 62.5% market-implied probability of a June 2026 settlement above $84. Recent diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran has introduced modest downside pressure, with futures trading near $96–$97 amid inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. Trader consensus reflects the steep backwardation in futures curves, pricing in gradual supply relief only later in 2026, while key catalysts including potential Strait reopening timelines and upcoming EIA inventory data could influence whether prices hold above $84 or moderate toward the $77–$84 range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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