**Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) faces attempted murder and related felony charges from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but the market prices a “No” conviction outcome by the July 31, 2027 resolution date at 60.5% implied probability.** The streamer, known for confrontational IRL content heavy on racial slurs and rage-bait encounters, claims self-defense after a verbal altercation escalated with victim Joshua Fox; both men were wounded, and Eatherly was released on $1 million bond in August after roughly two months in custody. The case remains in early pre-trial stages—grand jury review ongoing, no trial date set, and separate misdemeanor charges from a Nashville restaurant incident still pending. Tennessee felony proceedings, particularly those involving self-defense assertions and public scrutiny, routinely encounter delays from discovery, motions, and scheduling, making a conviction verdict within the roughly 14-month window from the current date unlikely. Traders appear to weigh these procedural realities and historical patterns in similar high-profile cases more heavily than the strength of the initial charges. Key upcoming catalysts include any grand jury decision or preliminary hearing updates that could accelerate or further stall the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
**Chud the Builder (Dalton Eatherly) faces attempted murder and related felony charges from a May 13, 2026, courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, but the market prices a “No” conviction outcome by the July 31, 2027 resolution date at 60.5% implied probability.** The streamer, known for confrontational IRL content heavy on racial slurs and rage-bait encounters, claims self-defense after a verbal altercation escalated with victim Joshua Fox; both men were wounded, and Eatherly was released on $1 million bond in August after roughly two months in custody. The case remains in early pre-trial stages—grand jury review ongoing, no trial date set, and separate misdemeanor charges from a Nashville restaurant incident still pending. Tennessee felony proceedings, particularly those involving self-defense assertions and public scrutiny, routinely encounter delays from discovery, motions, and scheduling, making a conviction verdict within the roughly 14-month window from the current date unlikely. Traders appear to weigh these procedural realities and historical patterns in similar high-profile cases more heavily than the strength of the initial charges. Key upcoming catalysts include any grand jury decision or preliminary hearing updates that could accelerate or further stall the timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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