Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-06-02
Jim Desmond
93%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
63%
Marni von Wilpert
40%
Brandon Riker
27%
Abel Chavez
7%
Corinna Contreras
6%
Mike Schaefer
5%
Kevin O'Neil
3%
Ferguson Porter
3%
Luis Reyna
2%
Stephen Clemons
2%
Eric Shaw
2%
$3,194 交易量
Jim Desmond
$180 交易量
93%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
$587 交易量
63%
Marni von Wilpert
$287 交易量
40%
Brandon Riker
$475 交易量
27%
Abel Chavez
$143 交易量
7%
Corinna Contreras
$183 交易量
6%
Mike Schaefer
$41 交易量
5%
Kevin O'Neil
$265 交易量
3%
Ferguson Porter
$281 交易量
3%
Luis Reyna
$249 交易量
2%
Stephen Clemons
$158 交易量
2%
Eric Shaw
$344 交易量
2%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$3,194结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,194结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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