Caroline Elliott leads Polymarket trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, propelled by her 31% first-choice support in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members—well ahead of Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24%—and endorsements from withdrawn candidates Harman Bhangu and Darrell Jones. Voting among 42,000 eligible members began May 9 via mailed ballots under a weighted electoral district system requiring over 50% to win, with the new leader announced May 30. Recent debates highlighted clashes between Elliott and Yuri Fulmer, while Findlay's federal MP experience sustains her second place; ranked preferences could further consolidate behind frontrunners amid the party's post-2024 momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡罗琳·艾略特 77%
凯瑞-琳恩·芬德利 11.5%
尤里·富尔默 7.5%
彼得·米洛巴尔 3.9%
$166,499 交易量
$166,499 交易量
2026-05-30
卡罗琳·艾略特
77%
凯瑞-琳恩·芬德利
12%
尤里·富尔默
8%
彼得·米洛巴尔
4%
伊恩·布莱克
3%
哈曼·班古
<1%
布鲁斯·班曼
<1%
沃伦·哈姆
<1%
达雷尔·琼斯
<1%
卡罗琳·艾略特 77%
凯瑞-琳恩·芬德利 11.5%
尤里·富尔默 7.5%
彼得·米洛巴尔 3.9%
$166,499 交易量
$166,499 交易量
2026-05-30
卡罗琳·艾略特
$44,839 交易量
77%
凯瑞-琳恩·芬德利
$20,990 交易量
12%
尤里·富尔默
$21,517 交易量
8%
彼得·米洛巴尔
$19,566 交易量
4%
伊恩·布莱克
$19,229 交易量
3%
哈曼·班古
$11,382 交易量
<1%
布鲁斯·班曼
$12,001 交易量
<1%
沃伦·哈姆
$8,423 交易量
<1%
达雷尔·琼斯
$8,551 交易量
<1%
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Caroline Elliott leads Polymarket trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, propelled by her 31% first-choice support in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members—well ahead of Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24%—and endorsements from withdrawn candidates Harman Bhangu and Darrell Jones. Voting among 42,000 eligible members began May 9 via mailed ballots under a weighted electoral district system requiring over 50% to win, with the new leader announced May 30. Recent debates highlighted clashes between Elliott and Yuri Fulmer, while Findlay's federal MP experience sustains her second place; ranked preferences could further consolidate behind frontrunners amid the party's post-2024 momentum.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
交易量
$166,499结束日期
2026-05-30市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Caroline Elliott leads Polymarket trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, propelled by her 31% first-choice support in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members—well ahead of Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24%—and endorsements from withdrawn candidates Harman Bhangu and Darrell Jones. Voting among 42,000 eligible members began May 9 via mailed ballots under a weighted electoral district system requiring over 50% to win, with the new leader announced May 30. Recent debates highlighted clashes between Elliott and Yuri Fulmer, while Findlay's federal MP experience sustains her second place; ranked preferences could further consolidate behind frontrunners amid the party's post-2024 momentum.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
交易量
$166,499结束日期
2026-05-30市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Caroline Elliott leads Polymarket trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, propelled by her 31% first-choice support in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members—well ahead of Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24%—and endorsements from withdrawn candidates Harman Bhangu and Darrell Jones. Voting among 42,000 eligible members began May 9 via mailed ballots under a weighted electoral district system requiring over 50% to win, with the new leader announced May 30. Recent debates highlighted clashes between Elliott and Yuri Fulmer, while Findlay's federal MP experience sustains her second place; ranked preferences could further consolidate behind frontrunners amid the party's post-2024 momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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