Argentina's August 2026 CPI release, due from INDEC on September 10, shows trader consensus centered on continued disinflation from July's 2.1% print. Private estimates from consultancies and the BCRA's REM cluster between 1.5% and 1.8%, citing decelerating food prices (notably meat), stable fuel costs, and fading winter seasonality in recreation and clothing that lifted the prior month. Core measures remain anchored near 1.8%, supported by fiscal balance and restrained monetary expansion, while regulated and service components exhibit greater inertia. These dynamics underpin the 60.7% implied probability on the 1.5-1.7% bracket and 27.4% on 1.8-2.0%, with markets pricing modest further cooling absent new shocks to indexed prices or the exchange rate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿根廷每月通货膨胀- 8月
1.5-1.7% 60.7%
1.8-2.0% 27.3%
1.2-1.4% 11.6%
2.1-2.3% 3.9%
$20,940 交易量
$20,940 交易量
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
12%
1.5-1.7%
61%
1.8-2.0%
27%
2.1-2.3%
4%
2.4-2.6%
<1%
2.7-2.9%
<1%
3.0%以上
<1%
1.5-1.7% 60.7%
1.8-2.0% 27.3%
1.2-1.4% 11.6%
2.1-2.3% 3.9%
$20,940 交易量
$20,940 交易量
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
12%
1.5-1.7%
61%
1.8-2.0%
27%
2.1-2.3%
4%
2.4-2.6%
<1%
2.7-2.9%
<1%
3.0%以上
<1%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Argentina's August 2026 CPI release, due from INDEC on September 10, shows trader consensus centered on continued disinflation from July's 2.1% print. Private estimates from consultancies and the BCRA's REM cluster between 1.5% and 1.8%, citing decelerating food prices (notably meat), stable fuel costs, and fading winter seasonality in recreation and clothing that lifted the prior month. Core measures remain anchored near 1.8%, supported by fiscal balance and restrained monetary expansion, while regulated and service components exhibit greater inertia. These dynamics underpin the 60.7% implied probability on the 1.5-1.7% bracket and 27.4% on 1.8-2.0%, with markets pricing modest further cooling absent new shocks to indexed prices or the exchange rate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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