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icon for 第二大公司2026年12月底?

第二大公司2026年12月底?

icon for 第二大公司2026年12月底?

第二大公司2026年12月底?

苹果 51%

英伟达 24%

Alphabet 22%

微软 3.7%

Polymarket

$18,736 交易量

苹果 51%

英伟达 24%

Alphabet 22%

微软 3.7%

Polymarket

$18,736 交易量

icon for 苹果

苹果

$6,263 交易量

51%

icon for 英伟达

英伟达

$4,157 交易量

24%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$2,907 交易量

22%

icon for 微软

微软

$1,136 交易量

4%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$944 交易量

<1%

icon for 沙特阿美

沙特阿美

$856 交易量

<1%

icon for 亚马逊

亚马逊

$908 交易量

<1%

icon for 特斯拉

特斯拉

$693 交易量

<1%

icon for 博通

博通

$871 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple currently holds the #2 spot by market capitalization behind NVIDIA, supported by its stable hardware ecosystem, services revenue growth, and recent share performance amid steady consumer demand. With only three months until year-end, trader sentiment reflects limited room for major shifts, though Alphabet and Microsoft could close gaps via AI infrastructure investments or cloud expansions that boost valuations. NVIDIA's dominance in AI accelerators makes a rapid climb into second place unlikely without extraordinary moves elsewhere, while lower-probability names face steeper barriers from scale differences. Key near-term catalysts include quarterly earnings and any major product or partnership announcements that could sway relative caps in this tight window.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$18,736
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple currently holds the #2 spot by market capitalization behind NVIDIA, supported by its stable hardware ecosystem, services revenue growth, and recent share performance amid steady consumer demand. With only three months until year-end, trader sentiment reflects limited room for major shifts, though Alphabet and Microsoft could close gaps via AI infrastructure investments or cloud expansions that boost valuations. NVIDIA's dominance in AI accelerators makes a rapid climb into second place unlikely without extraordinary moves elsewhere, while lower-probability names face steeper barriers from scale differences. Key near-term catalysts include quarterly earnings and any major product or partnership announcements that could sway relative caps in this tight window.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$18,736
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:16 PM ET

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常见问题

"第二大公司2026年12月底?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"苹果",概率为 51%,其次是"英伟达",概率为 24%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 51¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 51%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"第二大公司2026年12月底?"已产生 $18.7K 的总交易量(自Aug 6, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"第二大公司2026年12月底?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"第二大公司2026年12月底?"的当前领先者是"苹果",概率为 51%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 51%。紧随其后的结果是"英伟达",概率为 24%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"第二大公司2026年12月底?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。