Keaton Wagler leads the market at 30.5% due to his standout freshman campaign at Illinois, where the 6-6 guard posted efficient scoring, playmaking, and perimeter shooting while showcasing high basketball IQ and versatility off ball screens. Recent combine measurements and pre-draft evaluations have reinforced his appeal as a plug-and-play option for teams seeking size at the point, pushing him ahead in most mock drafts targeting the fifth selection. Darius Acuff Jr. sits at 20.5% on the strength of his polished scoring and assist numbers at Arkansas, while Mikel Brown Jr. at 15% draws support for his floor-general traits and shooting at Louisville. Kingston Flemings and others trail amid a deep guard class where recent form, positional fit, and team needs at lottery spots continue to shape the implied probabilities.