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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
科技·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
科技·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

Ended: 5月 12

6月 20

Ended: 5月 12

6月 20

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor <1%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Polymarket

$9,849 交易量

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor <1%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Polymarket

$9,849 交易量

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$2,425 交易量

Yes

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$1,422 交易量

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$1,368 交易量

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$292 交易量

No

icon for Google

Google

$446 交易量

No

icon for ALO

ALO

$541 交易量

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$387 交易量

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$1,437 交易量

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$1,530 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic's Claude app a 68.5% implied probability of claiming the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on May 12, fueled by its recent surge—including hitting #2 on May 8 amid over 1 million daily signups—and ongoing AI assistant momentum from May updates like Claude Code stability fixes and Microsoft 365 add-ins boosting enterprise and consumer adoption. Currently at #4 behind Paramount+ (#1), Netflix Game Controller (#2, 25% odds), and ChatGPT (#3), Claude benefits from sustained downloads in the competitive large language model landscape, where AI apps dominate top charts. Netflix's controller app trails on mobile gaming expansion but shows signs of peaking, with hourly ranking volatility and tomorrow's snapshot as the key resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$9,849
结束日期
2026-05-12
市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 12:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic's Claude app a 68.5% implied probability of claiming the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on May 12, fueled by its recent surge—including hitting #2 on May 8 amid over 1 million daily signups—and ongoing AI assistant momentum from May updates like Claude Code stability fixes and Microsoft 365 add-ins boosting enterprise and consumer adoption. Currently at #4 behind Paramount+ (#1), Netflix Game Controller (#2, 25% odds), and ChatGPT (#3), Claude benefits from sustained downloads in the competitive large language model landscape, where AI apps dominate top charts. Netflix's controller app trails on mobile gaming expansion but shows signs of peaking, with hourly ranking volatility and tomorrow's snapshot as the key resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$9,849
结束日期
2026-05-12
市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 12:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Claude by Anthropic"，概率为 100%，其次是"CapCut: Photo & Video Editor"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于May 9, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"的当前领先者是"Claude by Anthropic"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"CapCut: Photo & Video Editor"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。