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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
科技·App Store

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
科技·App Store

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

Ended: 5月 12

Ended: 5月 12

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

谷歌 <1%

Meta AI - 助手与眼镜 <1%

Polymarket

$20,873 交易量

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

谷歌 <1%

Meta AI - 助手与眼镜 <1%

Polymarket

$20,873 交易量

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$524 交易量

否

icon for 谷歌

谷歌

$1,530 交易量

否

icon for Meta AI - 助手与眼镜

Meta AI - 助手与眼镜

$576 交易量

否

icon for Netflix 游戏手柄

Netflix 游戏手柄

$2,542 交易量

否

icon for ALO

ALO

$1,467 交易量

否

icon for CapCut：照片与视频编辑器

CapCut：照片与视频编辑器

$428 交易量

否

icon for Temu：像亿万富翁一样购物

Temu：像亿万富翁一样购物

$483 交易量

否

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$10,593 交易量

是

icon for Anthropic 的 Claude

Anthropic 的 Claude

$2,731 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).OpenAI's ChatGPT app commands a unanimous 100% implied probability as the #1 free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store on May 12, driven by its current top ranking on live charts ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude (#2) and Google's Gemini (#3). A May 6 update enhanced features, including advanced image generation and cross-device sync, reignited downloads amid sustained AI assistant demand, following a GPT-5.5 Instant release that boosted usage earlier in the month. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time Sensor Tower and App Store data, with the app's ecosystem integrations solidifying its edge. Realistic challenges include hourly ranking volatility from viral surges in shopping apps like Temu or editors like CapCut, though non-AI displacement remains unlikely absent major catalysts before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$20,873
结束日期
2026-05-12
市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).OpenAI's ChatGPT app commands a unanimous 100% implied probability as the #1 free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store on May 12, driven by its current top ranking on live charts ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude (#2) and Google's Gemini (#3). A May 6 update enhanced features, including advanced image generation and cross-device sync, reignited downloads amid sustained AI assistant demand, following a GPT-5.5 Instant release that boosted usage earlier in the month. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time Sensor Tower and App Store data, with the app's ecosystem integrations solidifying its edge. Realistic challenges include hourly ranking volatility from viral surges in shopping apps like Temu or editors like CapCut, though non-AI displacement remains unlikely absent major catalysts before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$20,873
结束日期
2026-05-12
市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"ChatGPT"，概率为 100%，其次是"Google Gemini"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"已产生 $20.9K 的总交易量（自May 9, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"的当前领先者是"ChatGPT"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Google Gemini"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。