Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 69.5% for Andrey Esipenko vs. Anish Giri in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4, driven by both players' defensive resilience after 1/3 scores—each suffering Round 1 classical losses (Esipenko to Sindarov, Giri to Praggnanandhaa) before solid draws in Rounds 2-3 against Nakamura and Bluebaum respectively. Esipenko's 14% implied probability edges Giri's 12% with white pieces in this double round-robin matchup, reflecting a marginal first-move advantage amid cautious play typical before the first rest day, despite Giri's historical classical wins over Esipenko and higher pre-tournament rating around 2750 versus Esipenko's 2698. Trailing leaders Caruana and Sindarov at 2.5/3 underscores the pressure for points without risking blunders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市場開放時間: Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市場開放時間: Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 69.5% for Andrey Esipenko vs. Anish Giri in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4, driven by both players' defensive resilience after 1/3 scores—each suffering Round 1 classical losses (Esipenko to Sindarov, Giri to Praggnanandhaa) before solid draws in Rounds 2-3 against Nakamura and Bluebaum respectively. Esipenko's 14% implied probability edges Giri's 12% with white pieces in this double round-robin matchup, reflecting a marginal first-move advantage amid cautious play typical before the first rest day, despite Giri's historical classical wins over Esipenko and higher pre-tournament rating around 2750 versus Esipenko's 2698. Trailing leaders Caruana and Sindarov at 2.5/3 underscores the pressure for points without risking blunders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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