The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.

“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.

If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.

The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.

This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.

All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).

Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors April 8 (27.5%) and April 9 (24.5%) for the first eaglet hatch at the viral Traverse City, Michigan nest cam featuring Harry and Harriet's three eggs, laid March 2, 5, and 8—putting the oldest at 34 days incubation as of April 5 with no confirmed pips yet. Steady parental switches and consistent brooding amid northern Michigan's spring weather have sustained tight odds among early April dates, reflecting typical 34-36 day timelines but cautioning for potential delays common in wild nests. The close race hinges on live cam sightings of the first pip, expected imminently, as public viewership surges on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle stream, fueling real-money bets tied to conservation.

April 3

April 5

April 7

April 9

April 11

April 13

April 15

No Hatch before April 17

April 4

April 6

April 8

April 10

April 12

April 14

April 16

When will the first eaglet hatch?

Bald Eagles: America's greatest comeback story.

Meet Harriet
and Harry

When will the first eaglet hatch?

A return worth watching.

417 nesting pairs remain

DDT is banned in the United States

Removed from the endangered list

316,700 eagles across the United States

Just the beginning

Bald Eagles: America's greatest comeback story.

Meet Harriet and Harry

When will the first eaglet hatch?

A return worth watching.

417 nesting pairs remain

DDT is banned in the United States

Removed from the endangered list

316,700 eagles across the United States

Just the beginning

Meet Harriet
and Harry