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Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

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Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

Jobless claims are a statistic reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits. There are two categories of jobless claims—initial, which comprises filings for the first time by unemployed individuals after their separation from an employer, and continuing, which consists of unemployed people who have already been receiving unemployment benefits. The claim requests a determination of basic eligibility for the Unemployment Insurance program. This is a market on the (seasonally adjusted) number of Americans that filed initial jobless claims for the week ending Saturday, September 24, 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Labor reports that there were more than 215,000 seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance for the week ending on September 24, 2022. Otherwise, if the number is equal to or lower than 215,000 this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Department of Labor’s Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week ending on Saturday, September 24, 2022, expected to be released on Thursday, September 29, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. The up-to-date release of Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report can be found at https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf If the relevant data is not available by October 6, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

Jobless claims are a statistic reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits. There are two categories of jobless claims—initial, which comprises filings for the first time by unemployed individuals after their separation from an employer, and continuing, which consists of unemployed people who have already been receiving unemployment benefits. The claim requests a determination of basic eligibility for the Unemployment Insurance program. This is a market on the (seasonally adjusted) number of Americans that filed initial jobless claims for the week ending Saturday, September 24, 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Labor reports that there were more than 215,000 seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance for the week ending on September 24, 2022. Otherwise, if the number is equal to or lower than 215,000 this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Department of Labor’s Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week ending on Saturday, September 24, 2022, expected to be released on Thursday, September 29, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. The up-to-date release of Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report can be found at https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf If the relevant data is not available by October 6, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 22, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.