**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$8,849 交易量
2026-08-31
↑ 210萬
是
↑ 200萬
是
↓ 180萬
否
↓ 170萬
否
↓ 160萬
否
$8,849 交易量
↑ 210萬
$800 交易量
是
↑ 200萬
$2,480 交易量
是
↓ 180萬
$1,316 交易量
否
↓ 170萬
$1,221 交易量
否
↓ 160萬
$3,032 交易量
否
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
交易量
$8,849結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified price for any day between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$8,849結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
**Escalating US sanctions and direct military actions amid the ongoing Iran conflict have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports via a naval blockade, eliminating a primary source of foreign-currency earnings and widening the gap between official and parallel-market exchange rates.** The street rate tracked on platforms such as Bonbast climbed above 2 million rials per dollar in late August, reaching fresh records near 2.11 million by August 31 as renewed US-Iran clashes and Treasury measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” targeted financial networks, shipping, and third-country facilitators. High inflation exceeding 60 percent annually, combined with stalled trade and limited Central Bank of Iran capacity for intervention, sustained depreciation pressure without meaningful policy reversal in the final weeks of the month. Traders priced these fundamentals into the market’s implied probabilities, focusing on verifiable street-rate data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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