The ongoing US-Israel-Iran war, ignited in late February 2026, remains the dominant driver of Iranian rial depreciation against the USD, with the exchange rate hovering around 1.3-1.6 million IRR per dollar amid disrupted oil exports, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and tightened sanctions enforcement. A temporary US Treasury suspension of some oil sale restrictions on March 21 strengthened the rial to 1.559 million, but rates have since weakened due to persistent airstrikes, proxy escalations, and hyperinflation exceeding 40%. Traders eye the April 6 deadline for extended US-Iran talks in Oman as a potential de-escalation catalyst, alongside risks of further military action or oil supply shocks that could push the rate higher by April 30 resolution. IRGC economic control and depleted forex reserves amplify downside pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$33,380 交易量
↑ 1.8M
28%
↑ 1.7M
50%
↑ 1.6M
81%
↓ 1.5M
47%
↓ 1.4M
38%
↓ 1.3M
27%
$33,380 交易量
↑ 1.8M
28%
↑ 1.7M
50%
↑ 1.6M
81%
↓ 1.5M
47%
↓ 1.4M
38%
↓ 1.3M
27%
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Mar 27, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing US-Israel-Iran war, ignited in late February 2026, remains the dominant driver of Iranian rial depreciation against the USD, with the exchange rate hovering around 1.3-1.6 million IRR per dollar amid disrupted oil exports, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and tightened sanctions enforcement. A temporary US Treasury suspension of some oil sale restrictions on March 21 strengthened the rial to 1.559 million, but rates have since weakened due to persistent airstrikes, proxy escalations, and hyperinflation exceeding 40%. Traders eye the April 6 deadline for extended US-Iran talks in Oman as a potential de-escalation catalyst, alongside risks of further military action or oil supply shocks that could push the rate higher by April 30 resolution. IRGC economic control and depleted forex reserves amplify downside pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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