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icon for 特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？
政治·文化

特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？

icon for 特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？
政治·文化

特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？

Ended: 4月 30

6月 30

Ended: 4月 30

6月 30

$852,266 交易量

2026-04-11
Polymarket

$852,266 交易量

Polymarket

4月11日

$8,410 交易量

是

4月12日

$11,454 交易量

是

4月13日

$21,179 交易量

是

4月14日

$20,227 交易量

是

4月15日

$16,568 交易量

是

4月16日

$9,540 交易量

是

4月17日

$23,030 交易量

是

4月18日

$44,676 交易量

是

4月19日

$23,073 交易量

否

4月20日

$67,874 交易量

是

4月21日

$66,083 交易量

是

4月22日

$38,667 交易量

是

4月23日

$58,054 交易量

是

4月24日

$48,335 交易量

是

4月25日

$45,263 交易量

是

4月26日

$191,666 交易量

是

4月27日

$34,212 交易量

是

4月28日

$86,464 交易量

否

4月29日

$21,415 交易量

是

4月30日

$16,073 交易量

是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of public name-calling via Truth Social and speeches continues to shape trader consensus in this market, with recent examples including his April 22 attack on Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson as "low IQ," sharp rebukes of MAGA influencers like Tucker Carlson opposing his Iran policy as "losers" and "stupid," and calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment three days ago. These followed his April 12 insults against Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal and weak on crime," amid backlash from Catholic leaders. No confirmed public insults emerged in the last 48 hours, despite ongoing media scrutiny from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident and Iran tensions, but policy announcements or rally appearances could trigger renewed rhetoric before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$852,266
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of public name-calling via Truth Social and speeches continues to shape trader consensus in this market, with recent examples including his April 22 attack on Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson as "low IQ," sharp rebukes of MAGA influencers like Tucker Carlson opposing his Iran policy as "losers" and "stupid," and calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment three days ago. These followed his April 12 insults against Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal and weak on crime," amid backlash from Catholic leaders. No confirmed public insults emerged in the last 48 hours, despite ongoing media scrutiny from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident and Iran tensions, but policy announcements or rally appearances could trigger renewed rhetoric before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$852,266
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月11日" at 100%, followed by "4月12日" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？" has generated $852.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？" is "4月11日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月12日" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.