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icon for 特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?

特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?

icon for 特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?

特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?

2% 機率
Polymarket

$11,960 交易量

2% 機率
Polymarket

$11,960 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus that Trump will not publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday reflects the current diplomatic track in US-Iran relations.** Recent developments center on negotiations for a memorandum of understanding to end the conflict, including reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and commitments against nuclear weapons development. Trump has described the new supreme leader as “more rational” than his predecessor and expressed openness to a meeting if it advances a deal, while Iranian officials have indicated high-level approval of the framework. Talks involve mediators and target potential signing in the coming days, shifting focus from confrontation to implementation. This environment makes an unprompted public insult improbable absent a sudden breakdown in diplomacy or major provocation within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,960
結束日期
2026-06-19
市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus that Trump will not publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday reflects the current diplomatic track in US-Iran relations.** Recent developments center on negotiations for a memorandum of understanding to end the conflict, including reopening the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief tied to compliance, and commitments against nuclear weapons development. Trump has described the new supreme leader as “more rational” than his predecessor and expressed openness to a meeting if it advances a deal, while Iranian officials have indicated high-level approval of the framework. Talks involve mediators and target potential signing in the coming days, shifting focus from confrontation to implementation. This environment makes an unprompted public insult improbable absent a sudden breakdown in diplomacy or major provocation within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,960
結束日期
2026-06-19
市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普會在星期五之前公開侮辱穆吉塔巴·哈梅內伊嗎?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?" is "特朗普會在星期五之前公開侮辱穆吉塔巴·哈梅內伊嗎?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會在周五前公開侮辱Mojtaba Khamenei嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.