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科技·遊戲

Steam機器在發布時會花費$ 700或更多嗎？

Market icon
科技·遊戲

Steam機器在發布時會花費$ 700或更多嗎？

是

77% 機率
Polymarket

$158,001 交易量

是

77% 機率
Polymarket

$158,001 交易量

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising component costs, particularly for memory and storage amid ongoing global shortages, have driven Polymarket traders to price a "Yes" outcome at 77% implied probability for the Steam Machine launching at $700 or more. Valve's February 2026 announcement delayed pricing details, citing the chip crisis that analysts estimate could inflate the mid-range gaming hardware's MSRP by $100–300 beyond initial $700 projections based on its specs—over six times Steam Deck's power for full Steam library compatibility in a compact form factor. Recent leaks from retailers listing units at $950–$1,070, alongside supply chain updates from Japanese distributors signaling imminent preorders, reinforce trader consensus, though official confirmation remains pending ahead of the H1 2026 release window.

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.

If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$158,001
結束日期
2025-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising component costs, particularly for memory and storage amid ongoing global shortages, have driven Polymarket traders to price a "Yes" outcome at 77% implied probability for the Steam Machine launching at $700 or more. Valve's February 2026 announcement delayed pricing details, citing the chip crisis that analysts estimate could inflate the mid-range gaming hardware's MSRP by $100–300 beyond initial $700 projections based on its specs—over six times Steam Deck's power for full Steam library compatibility in a compact form factor. Recent leaks from retailers listing units at $950–$1,070, alongside supply chain updates from Japanese distributors signaling imminent preorders, reinforce trader consensus, though official confirmation remains pending ahead of the H1 2026 release window.

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.

If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$158,001
結束日期
2025-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Steam機器在發布時會花費$ 700或更多嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Steam Machine 發售時會售價 700 美元或以上嗎？" at 77%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Steam機器在發布時會花費$ 700或更多嗎？" has generated $158K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Steam機器在發布時會花費$ 700或更多嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Steam機器在發布時會花費$ 700或更多嗎？" is "Steam Machine 發售時會售價 700 美元或以上嗎？" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Steam機器在發布時會花費$ 700或更多嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.