Trader consensus leans heavily toward "No" at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's recent reset to $20 million following a March winner, leaving insufficient rollovers to reach $1 billion by May 31 amid roughly 10 draws remaining. Jackpots typically grow $10-20 million per draw without a winner, but historical patterns show frequent hits before billion-dollar thresholds—only five such jackpots since 2016. No major rule changes or ticket sales surges alter this math, and public buzz on social media remains muted without a prolonged streak, reinforcing skepticism that the prize climbs that high in time. Key watch: Next drawings on April 24 and 27 could spark early momentum or dash hopes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於強力球大獎會在5月31日達到10億$嗎?
強力球大獎會在5月31日達到10億$嗎?
是
是
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus leans heavily toward "No" at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's recent reset to $20 million following a March winner, leaving insufficient rollovers to reach $1 billion by May 31 amid roughly 10 draws remaining. Jackpots typically grow $10-20 million per draw without a winner, but historical patterns show frequent hits before billion-dollar thresholds—only five such jackpots since 2016. No major rule changes or ticket sales surges alter this math, and public buzz on social media remains muted without a prolonged streak, reinforcing skepticism that the prize climbs that high in time. Key watch: Next drawings on April 24 and 27 could spark early momentum or dash hopes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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