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運動·電子競技

蒙古人Z會在7月前變更名冊嗎？

Market icon
運動·電子競技

蒙古人Z會在7月前變更名冊嗎？

49% 機率
Polymarket
最新
49% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The MongolZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The MongolZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, mzinho, 910, and cobrazera. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MongolZ's roster—bLitz (IGL), Techno, 910, mzinho, and cobrazera—has remained unchanged since cobrazera's integration in late 2025, fueling trader consensus toward "No" at 51% amid strong recent form, including a 3rd-place finish at PGL Bucharest 2026 (2-0 over 3DMAX in the bronze match) and upsets like 2-0 over MOUZ at BLAST Open Rotterdam. Holding #7 on HLTV rankings with a 57.7% win rate over the last three months, the lineup's cohesion on maps like Nuke and Inferno minimizes change incentives. Yet, the market's tight balance reflects CS2's volatile rostermania, where upcoming Majors or a playoff skid could prompt bench moves or transfers, especially with young stars drawing Tier 1 interest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The MongolZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The MongolZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, mzinho, 910, and cobrazera. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$119
結束日期
2026-07-01
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 10:31 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The MongolZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The MongolZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, mzinho, 910, and cobrazera. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The MongolZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The MongolZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, mzinho, 910, and cobrazera. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MongolZ's roster—bLitz (IGL), Techno, 910, mzinho, and cobrazera—has remained unchanged since cobrazera's integration in late 2025, fueling trader consensus toward "No" at 51% amid strong recent form, including a 3rd-place finish at PGL Bucharest 2026 (2-0 over 3DMAX in the bronze match) and upsets like 2-0 over MOUZ at BLAST Open Rotterdam. Holding #7 on HLTV rankings with a 57.7% win rate over the last three months, the lineup's cohesion on maps like Nuke and Inferno minimizes change incentives. Yet, the market's tight balance reflects CS2's volatile rostermania, where upcoming Majors or a playoff skid could prompt bench moves or transfers, especially with young stars drawing Tier 1 interest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The MongolZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The MongolZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, mzinho, 910, and cobrazera. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$119
結束日期
2026-07-01
市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 10:31 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves The MongolZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of The MongolZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/6248/the-mongolz#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: bLitz, Techno, mzinho, 910, and cobrazera. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"蒙古人Z會在7月前變更名冊嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 49% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 49¢, the market collectively assigns a 49% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"蒙古人Z會在7月前變更名冊嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "蒙古人Z會在7月前變更名冊嗎？," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "蒙古人Z會在7月前變更名冊嗎？" is 49% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 49% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "蒙古人Z會在7月前變更名冊嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.