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Will Taiwan report 40,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 16?

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Will Taiwan report 40,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any of the days within this market's timeframe, Taiwan's Central Epidemic Command Center (CECC) reports a daily COVID-19 case count of 40,000 or more new cases. Otherwise, if no such report is made, this market will resolve to "No". The sum of both domestic and imported cases counts in this market. The timeframe for this market is May 2 to May 16, 2022 (inclusive), referring to the dates published in Taiwan's CECC reports. The data will be checked daily at 10 AM ET, with the last check being performed on May 17, 2022, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve based on press releases from Taiwan's CECC, which publishes daily numbers for COVID-19 cases on their website https://www.cdc.gov.tw/En/Bulletin/List/7tUXjTBf6paRvrhEl-mrPg and on Twitter https://twitter.com/taiwan_cdc, as well as the respective dates. The CECC reports daily case counts at around 2:00-2:10 PM local time (GMT+8). Note that both domestic and imported cases count for this market; the headline total daily number will be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any of the days within this market's timeframe, Taiwan's Central Epidemic Command Center (CECC) reports a daily COVID-19 case count of 40,000 or more new cases. Otherwise, if no such report is made, this market will resolve to "No". The sum of both domestic and imported cases counts in this market. The timeframe for this market is May 2 to May 16, 2022 (inclusive), referring to the dates published in Taiwan's CECC reports. The data will be checked daily at 10 AM ET, with the last check being performed on May 17, 2022, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve based on press releases from Taiwan's CECC, which publishes daily numbers for COVID-19 cases on their website https://www.cdc.gov.tw/En/Bulletin/List/7tUXjTBf6paRvrhEl-mrPg and on Twitter https://twitter.com/taiwan_cdc, as well as the respective dates. The CECC reports daily case counts at around 2:00-2:10 PM local time (GMT+8). Note that both domestic and imported cases count for this market; the headline total daily number will be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Taiwan report 40,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 16?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Taiwan report 40,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 16?" has generated $13.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 2, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Taiwan report 40,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 16?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Taiwan report 40,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 16?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Taiwan report 40,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 16?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.