Russian forces claimed control of Svitle (also referenced as Svitlye or near Nova Sich) in late July 2026 amid incremental gains in the Pokrovsk and broader Donetsk axes, where advances have averaged roughly one square kilometer per day in recent months. Independent assessments, including from ISW, show Russian progress remains limited by Ukrainian counterattacks, drone and artillery interdiction, and high attrition, with exaggerated territorial claims frequently contradicted by on-the-ground reporting. Ukrainian forces have conducted localized counteroffensives elsewhere in Donetsk and southern sectors through mid-2026, recapturing hundreds of square kilometers in prior months and disrupting Russian logistics. Trader sentiment reflects the grinding nature of the front, where Russian pressure continues but full consolidation of small settlements like Svitle depends on sustained momentum amid ongoing Ukrainian defensive adaptations and strikes on rear areas. No major diplomatic or force posture shifts have altered the immediate tactical dynamics as of early September 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$62,894 交易量
2026-10-31
10月31日
14%
$62,894 交易量
10月31日
$30,888 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces claimed control of Svitle (also referenced as Svitlye or near Nova Sich) in late July 2026 amid incremental gains in the Pokrovsk and broader Donetsk axes, where advances have averaged roughly one square kilometer per day in recent months. Independent assessments, including from ISW, show Russian progress remains limited by Ukrainian counterattacks, drone and artillery interdiction, and high attrition, with exaggerated territorial claims frequently contradicted by on-the-ground reporting. Ukrainian forces have conducted localized counteroffensives elsewhere in Donetsk and southern sectors through mid-2026, recapturing hundreds of square kilometers in prior months and disrupting Russian logistics. Trader sentiment reflects the grinding nature of the front, where Russian pressure continues but full consolidation of small settlements like Svitle depends on sustained momentum amid ongoing Ukrainian defensive adaptations and strikes on rear areas. No major diplomatic or force posture shifts have altered the immediate tactical dynamics as of early September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
交易量
$62,894結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces claimed control of Svitle (also referenced as Svitlye or near Nova Sich) in late July 2026 amid incremental gains in the Pokrovsk and broader Donetsk axes, where advances have averaged roughly one square kilometer per day in recent months. Independent assessments, including from ISW, show Russian progress remains limited by Ukrainian counterattacks, drone and artillery interdiction, and high attrition, with exaggerated territorial claims frequently contradicted by on-the-ground reporting. Ukrainian forces have conducted localized counteroffensives elsewhere in Donetsk and southern sectors through mid-2026, recapturing hundreds of square kilometers in prior months and disrupting Russian logistics. Trader sentiment reflects the grinding nature of the front, where Russian pressure continues but full consolidation of small settlements like Svitle depends on sustained momentum amid ongoing Ukrainian defensive adaptations and strikes on rear areas. No major diplomatic or force posture shifts have altered the immediate tactical dynamics as of early September 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
交易量
$62,894結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ETRussian forces claimed control of Svitle (also referenced as Svitlye or near Nova Sich) in late July 2026 amid incremental gains in the Pokrovsk and broader Donetsk axes, where advances have averaged roughly one square kilometer per day in recent months. Independent assessments, including from ISW, show Russian progress remains limited by Ukrainian counterattacks, drone and artillery interdiction, and high attrition, with exaggerated territorial claims frequently contradicted by on-the-ground reporting. Ukrainian forces have conducted localized counteroffensives elsewhere in Donetsk and southern sectors through mid-2026, recapturing hundreds of square kilometers in prior months and disrupting Russian logistics. Trader sentiment reflects the grinding nature of the front, where Russian pressure continues but full consolidation of small settlements like Svitle depends on sustained momentum amid ongoing Ukrainian defensive adaptations and strikes on rear areas. No major diplomatic or force posture shifts have altered the immediate tactical dynamics as of early September 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions