Powell’s ongoing service as a Federal Reserve governor through at least January 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, anchors the 94% market-implied probability against joining an AI company this year. Official statements confirm he plans to remain on the Board pending completion of an investigation into headquarters renovations, with no reported outreach, offers, or interest from major AI labs or tech firms. Traders view this extended public commitment, combined with his recent public commentary on artificial intelligence’s macroeconomic effects rather than personal career moves, as strong evidence of continuity. A sudden resignation or undisclosed board role could still shift sentiment, though historical precedent for departing Fed chairs favors think tanks or traditional finance over immediate AI transitions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Powell’s ongoing service as a Federal Reserve governor through at least January 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, anchors the 94% market-implied probability against joining an AI company this year. Official statements confirm he plans to remain on the Board pending completion of an investigation into headquarters renovations, with no reported outreach, offers, or interest from major AI labs or tech firms. Traders view this extended public commitment, combined with his recent public commentary on artificial intelligence’s macroeconomic effects rather than personal career moves, as strong evidence of continuity. A sudden resignation or undisclosed board role could still shift sentiment, though historical precedent for departing Fed chairs favors think tanks or traditional finance over immediate AI transitions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$444結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Powell’s ongoing service as a Federal Reserve governor through at least January 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, anchors the 94% market-implied probability against joining an AI company this year. Official statements confirm he plans to remain on the Board pending completion of an investigation into headquarters renovations, with no reported outreach, offers, or interest from major AI labs or tech firms. Traders view this extended public commitment, combined with his recent public commentary on artificial intelligence’s macroeconomic effects rather than personal career moves, as strong evidence of continuity. A sudden resignation or undisclosed board role could still shift sentiment, though historical precedent for departing Fed chairs favors think tanks or traditional finance over immediate AI transitions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$444結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Powell’s ongoing service as a Federal Reserve governor through at least January 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, anchors the 94% market-implied probability against joining an AI company this year. Official statements confirm he plans to remain on the Board pending completion of an investigation into headquarters renovations, with no reported outreach, offers, or interest from major AI labs or tech firms. Traders view this extended public commitment, combined with his recent public commentary on artificial intelligence’s macroeconomic effects rather than personal career moves, as strong evidence of continuity. A sudden resignation or undisclosed board role could still shift sentiment, though historical precedent for departing Fed chairs favors think tanks or traditional finance over immediate AI transitions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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