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Will Biden mention aliens by August 31?

Market icon

Will Biden mention aliens by August 31?

0% chance
Polymarket

$49,788 交易量

0% chance
Polymarket

$49,788 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden uses the word "alien" or "aliens" in any public, recorded way between July 27 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Biden MUST say "alien" or "aliens" in a video or audio statement. Any context in which "alien" or "aliens" is said will count - e.g. if Biden said "illegal aliens" this market would resolve to "Yes." References to aliens that do not include the word "alien" or "aliens" will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Written statements will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be any publicly available recorded or videoed statements by Biden (e.g. video of press conferences, candid videos, etc), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if US President Joe Biden uses the word "alien" or "aliens" in any public, recorded way between July 27 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Biden MUST say "alien" or "aliens" in a video or audio statement. Any context in which "alien" or "aliens" is said will count - e.g. if Biden said "illegal aliens" this market would resolve to "Yes." References to aliens that do not include the word "alien" or "aliens" will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Written statements will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be any publicly available recorded or videoed statements by Biden (e.g. video of press conferences, candid videos, etc), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Biden mention aliens by August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Biden mention aliens by August 31?" has generated $49.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Biden mention aliens by August 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Biden mention aliens by August 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Biden mention aliens by August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.