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Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?

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Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?

$8,916 交易量

Jul 14, 2022
Polymarket

$8,916 交易量

Polymarket
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James Maynard

$3,240 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Maryna Viazovska

$3,516 交易量

Yes

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Hugo Duminil-Copin

$1,096 交易量

Yes

Market icon

June Huh

$1,064 交易量

Yes

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2022 (ICM 2022) is scheduled to take place as a fully virtual event over 6–14 July 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Maynard is awarded the 2022 Fields Medal, and to "No" otherwise. If the 2022 Fields medalists are not announced by July 21 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2022 (ICM 2022) is scheduled to take place as a fully virtual event over 6–14 July 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maryna Viazovska is awarded the 2022 Fields Medal, and to "No" otherwise. If the 2022 Fields medalists are not announced by July 21 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2022 (ICM 2022) is scheduled to take place as a fully virtual event over 6–14 July 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hugo Duminil-Copin is awarded the 2022 Fields Medal, and to "No" otherwise. If the 2022 Fields medalists are not announced by July 21 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2022 (ICM 2022) is scheduled to take place as a fully virtual event over 6–14 July 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if June Huh is awarded the 2022 Fields Medal, and to "No" otherwise. If the 2022 Fields medalists are not announced by July 21 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2022 (ICM 2022) is scheduled to take place as a fully virtual event over 6–14 July 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Maynard is awarded the 2022 Fields Medal, and to "No" otherwise. If the 2022 Fields medalists are not announced by July 21 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2022 (ICM 2022) is scheduled to take place as a fully virtual event over 6–14 July 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maryna Viazovska is awarded the 2022 Fields Medal, and to "No" otherwise. If the 2022 Fields medalists are not announced by July 21 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2022 (ICM 2022) is scheduled to take place as a fully virtual event over 6–14 July 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hugo Duminil-Copin is awarded the 2022 Fields Medal, and to "No" otherwise. If the 2022 Fields medalists are not announced by July 21 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2022 (ICM 2022) is scheduled to take place as a fully virtual event over 6–14 July 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if June Huh is awarded the 2022 Fields Medal, and to "No" otherwise. If the 2022 Fields medalists are not announced by July 21 (11 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "James Maynard" at 100%, followed by "Maryna Viazovska" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 6, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?" is "James Maynard" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maryna Viazovska" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.